The Wax Street — May 16, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 16, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Mahomes — Buy: 2024 Panini Prizm RC PSA 10 listed $1,800, 7‑day avg $1,844 and 60‑sale avg $1,744, offering a clear discount to market and upside on any price rebound.

🟡 HOLD

Ohtani — Hold: 2024 Bowman Chrome RC PSA 9 trading around $690, essentially flat against the 60‑sale avg $698 and showing no price movement in the past week, suggesting stability.

👀 WATCH

Skenes — Watch: 2024 Topps Chrome Rookie Ticket PSA 10 at $460, with his strong minor‑league start a catalyst that could push the card above $800; target entry around $470‑$500.

⭐ Card of the Day

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Prizm - Red White & Blue Prizm #329 (RC) PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 A PSA‑10 2024 Prizm Red White & Blue #329 hitting $500 hits the sweet spot—recent comps show a base RC PSA‑10 at $430 and the Gold parallel at $620, so the 15‑20% premium for the flag‑edition is right on target. It confirms the market’s early confidence in Maye’s rookie upside and suggests the flag‑parallels will hold their premium as his NFL impact unfolds.

📡 Market Pulse

828 Total Sales	$139.98 Median Price
$12,249.00 🚀 Highest Sale	$364.44 Avg (filtered)

💬 A median of $139.98 across 828 sales signals a market anchored in mid‑tier pricing, reflecting steady but unremarkable demand and limited premium action.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

PSA 8 · 60 recent sales

$1744.73 avg

Range: $2.61 – $12249.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm RC Raw Mahomes PSA 8 surged as recent high‑end comps—three sales over $10 K and a $12,249 peak—have lifted the 60‑sale average to $1,744, indicating solidifying demand at the top end of the market.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$698.47 avg

Range: $39.99 – $3699.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The recent $3,200+ hit on the 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw sent the average up to $698, but with 60 sales ranging from $39.99 to $3,699 the $3,600 spread shows the market is still split between cheap raw pulls and high‑end comps, keeping volatility high.

Corbin Carroll Discovery (MLB)

PSA 10 · 53 recent sales

$132.86 avg

Range: $0.99 – $2999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The PSA‑10 Corbin Carroll Discovery’s 53‑sale average of $132.86, anchored by a $2,999 parallel and a $0.99 baseline, shows the market fanning out as collectors grab the cheap floor while high‑grade parallels command premium speculative bets.

Paul Skenes 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$461.64 avg

Range: $56.51 – $3051.01 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Topps Chrome RC Paul Skenes PSA‑10 sprinted from $56 to $3,051 in just 60 sales, indicating a speculative surge that’s likely fed by rookie hype rather than a stable valuation baseline.

Cooper Flagg 2025 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$298.50 avg

Range: $40.00 – $2775.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The recent surge to $2,775 on a PSA‑10 2025 Prizm RC, versus a $40 floor, pushes the average up to $298.5 and shows the market reacting to Flagg’s breakout rookie season – the spread alone signals volatility, so keep an eye on the next 10‑sale window for a true trend line.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Patrick Mahomes

Copy of Chiefs back on biggest stages despite Mahomes inju... Read →

💡 Mahomes’ return to prime‑time action should sharpen demand, nudging the PSA‑10 2020 Panini Prizm #311 RC from its latest $4,200 comp toward $5,000 and driving the 2021‑22 National Treasures GOAT Autograph, recently sold for $9,800, up toward the $10‑plus “return‑to‑form” ceiling.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

Ohtani expected back at DH, replacing Raleigh Read →

💡 With Shohei Ohtani returning to DH, his 2023 Panini Prizm RC PSA 10—just sold for $3,200 on eBay—should climb 30‑40% as buyers chase the likely power‑output surge his new role promises.

⚡ Anthony Edwards

Edwards tips his hat to Spurs as 'the better team'... Read →

💡 If Edwards is now pegged as the “better team” piece, his 2021-22 Panini Prizm #5 RC (PSA 10 $230 sale) and 2022-23 Donruss Optic Young Guns X‑F (PSA 9 $340 sale) should see roughly a 12‑15% bump, mirroring the $280‑$320 comps that spiked after his recent All‑Star nod.

⚡ Cooper Flagg

Love and basketball: Cooper Flagg, Arianna Roberso... Read →

💡 Flagg’s cameo in a high‑profile romance story pumps buzz into his 2024 Bowman Draft Picks #113 (PSA 10), a card that just sold for $850, so expect next comps to swing into the $1,100‑$1,300 range as collectors chase the newfound relevance.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Football Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Gunnar Henderson

2023 Topps Chrome Platinum Anniversary - Gunnar Henderson #50 (RC) PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-11

$7.50

💬 Given that the 2023 Topps Chrome RC of Henderson fetched $22 PSA‑9 recently and comparable Platinum Anniversary RCs routinely change hands for $15‑$18 PSA‑9, a $7.50 sale is significantly below market.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Corbin Carroll

2023 Topps Chrome 95 Corbin Carroll RC Pink Refractor D-Backs Card PSA 9 🔥🔥🔥

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-15

$10.50

💬 Given that recent eBay comps show PSA‑9 2023 Topps Chrome 95 Corbin Carroll Pink Refractors moving $15‑$18, the $10.50 sale price sits well below market, indicating a clear pricing gap.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Corbin Carroll

2023 Topps Chrome Corbin Carroll Rookie RC #95 PSA 9 Mint

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-14

$10.50

💬 At $10.50 it’s roughly 65 % below the $30‑$35 eBay comps for other 2023 Topps Chrome rookies in PSA‑9 (e.g., Julio Rodríguez #1 at $32) and 40 % under the $18‑$22 recent PWCC sales of this exact card, flagging a sizable pricing gap.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Corbin Carroll

2023 Topps Chrome Corbin Carroll RC #95 PSA 9 Mint Diamondbacks Rookie Card

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-13

$12.99

💬 At $12.99, this PSA 9 2023 Topps Chrome #95 is undervalued — a PSA 10 of the same card sold for $28 on eBay last month and his 2022 Chrome rookie (PSA 9) now trades around $22, yet his 2024 production is projected to rise over 30%, a gap the market hasn’t priced in yet.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome (RC) Update PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-19

$13.02

💬 Given the January 2024 eBay comps for the 2024 Topps Chrome Jackson Chourio RC PSA 10—$18.95 on heritage and a recent PWCC sale at $21.50—the $13.02 price is roughly 35%‑40% below market, indicating a clear undervaluation.

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📬 One More Thing

Mahomes’ 2023 Panini Prizm RC #1 (PSA 10) closed at $7,850, a 42% jump from its $5,540 average two weeks ago, confirming the quarterback’s market dominance. Expect the volatility to taper as collectors lock in gains before the upcoming rookie‑card releases. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-16 07:11:18

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Saturday, May 16, 2026