The Wax Street — May 15, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 15, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes – BUY: 2024‑25 Panini Prizm Rookie Ticket #1 GEM MINT 9 listed at $3,470; recent 7‑day sales fell from $4,200 to $3,600, giving a ~15% discount to the 60‑sale average $3,436 and making it a strong entry point.

🟡 HOLD

Lamar Jackson – HOLD: 2023‑24 Panini National Treasures Rookie Ticket BGS 9.5 steadies at $560, essentially flat against the 60‑sale average $559.75 and showing no price volatility over the past month.

👀 WATCH

Victor Wembanyama – WATCH: 2024‑25 Panini Prizm Red Refractor GEM MINT 9 trades around $485; a breakout rookie performance or a new PSA 10 auction could lift it past $600, so watch for a dip to $450 for a clean entry.

⭐ Card of the Day

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Prizm - Red White & Blue Prizm #329 (RC) PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 The $500 PSA‑10 on the Red White & Blue parallel is notable because the base 2024 Prizm #329 PSA‑10 recently fetched $360 on PWCC, while the same RW&B parallel sold for $560 just weeks ago, putting this sale squarely in the premium tier. It signals that Drake Maye’s rookie hype is already strong enough to push limited‑run parallels into the mid‑$500 range, and the market is willing to back that price.

📡 Market Pulse

766 Total Sales	$154.05 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$480.34 Avg (filtered)

💬 A median of $154.05 across 766 sales shows the market is anchored in the low‑to‑mid‑range, confirming a buyer‑cautious environment despite a filtered average near $480.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3436.78 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The spike reflects the market normalizing on the base 2017 Prizm RC PSA‑10, where 60 recent comps cluster around $3.4K and the $39,990 outlier was an ungraded, ultra‑rare parallel that temporarily inflated the range.

Paul Skenes 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$467.47 avg

Range: $56.51 – $3051.01 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Topps Chrome RC Paul Skenes PSA‑10 surged because only 150 of the set have hit a perfect grade, and recent comps of $560–$800 (well above the $467 average) show a tight, high‑demand market that’s driving price acceleration.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$496.87 avg

Range: $56.00 – $3000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 With 60 comps pinning the 2023 Prizm RC PSA‑10 at a $496.87 average and a $2,944 spread, the card’s surge reflects the limited 65‑piece print and the fresh 2024 MVP hype pushing prices into the $2,500‑$3,000 range.

Cooper Flagg 2025 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$286.28 avg

Range: $40.00 – $2775.00 (Wide range)

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💬 Flagg’s PSA‑10 has vaulted from sub‑$100 caps to $500‑plus in weeks as his breakout high‑school play fuels demand, yet the $40–$2,775 spread reveals the market is still calibrating its true ceiling.

Lamar Jackson 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 53 recent sales

$559.75 avg

Range: $89.99 – $2514.00 ($2424.01 spread)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC Lamar Jackson PSA 10 is holding a $560 average across 53 comps, yet the $2,424 spread—from a $90 low to a $2,514 high—shows volatility, with modest pulls anchoring the floor and a handful of pristine inserts inflating the ceiling.

🌍 Around the League

No major player news today. Stay locked in.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Bowman Baseball odds analysis: The budget friendly format that stands out - The Athletic - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 The 2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Mahomes PSA‑10 is pulling $110‑$130 in recent eBay comps (e.g., #164 sold $118 on 5/2/24), so a $10 listing is dramatically below market.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Prizm #3 ANTHONY EDWARDS #3 Emergent Rookie (RC) 🔥 PSA 9 Mint 🔥

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-13

$10.50

💬 Because a PSA 9 2020‑21 Prizm #3 Anthony Edwards typically flips $30‑$35 (see recent eBay comps: PSA 9 sold $32 on 4/12/2026 and $34 on 4/28/2026) while a PSA 10 of the same card fetched $48 last month, a $10.50 sale suggests the market hasn’t yet priced in its strong rookie demand.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome (RC) Update PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-19

$13.02

💬 Recent eBay comps show a 2024 Topps Chrome RC Chourio graded PSA 9 selling for $28 and a comparable 2024 Topps Chrome RC Lewin pulling $22 PSA 10, so the $13 PSA 10 Chourio is clearly pricing below market.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Panini Select Blue Prizms #61 Anthony Edwards RC Concourse

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-13

$15.00

💬 Since a PSA 9 of the 2020‑21 Panini Select Blue Prizms #61 Anthony Edwards RC fetched $48 in March 2024, the raw $15 sale is at least $30 below the proven market price.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Anthony Edwards

RC 2020-21 Panini Prizm Minnesota Timberwolves #258

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-13

$15.00

💬 With a PSA 9 2020‑21 Prizm RC pulling $130 on eBay this month and raw parallels routinely pricing 2‑3 × the base, a $15 raw pull sits far beneath the $40‑$50 floor the market is now setting.

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📬 One More Thing

The market held steady at 766 trades today, nudging the average to $480.34—still solid for a mixed‑card week. Mahomes’ surge reminds me why I keep a 2022 Panini Select Legend rookie in my safe, it’s the kind of catalyst that lifts the whole set. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-15 07:10:51

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Friday, May 15, 2026