The Wax Street — May 14, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 14, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes — 2024 Panini PRIZM #1 Rookie Autograph PSA 10 listed at $3,800, below the $3,436.79 60‑sale average and down roughly 6% in the last week, a solid entry point.

🟡 HOLD

Luka Doncic — 2023‑24 Panini PRIZM Rookie Patch Autograph PSA 9 holding steady at $2,350, trading within a tight $2,300‑$2,400 range for the past month, so patience pays.

👀 WATCH

Shohei Ohtani — 2024 Topps Chrome Gold Parallel PSA 10 currently $1,800; a Japan‑MLB showcase or a major endorsement could push it toward $3k, making it a watch with entry around $1,800.

⭐ Card of the Day

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Prizm - Luka Doncic #280 Silver Prizm (RC) PSA 9 Rookie Dallas

PSA 9

$500.00

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💬 A PSA 9 2018‑19 Prizm #280 Silver RC at $500 falls between the $470 PW sale last week and a $520 eBay comp, so it’s a market‑aligned price. It signals that Luka’s rookie silver parallel still commands a premium over the base RC, confirming continued confidence in his long‑term value.

📡 Market Pulse

1485 Total Sales	$82.79 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$309.37 Avg (filtered)

💬 With a median sale of $82.79, the market is anchored in low‑mid‑range activity, while the $309.37 filtered average shows a modest tail of higher‑end moves pulling the overall average upward.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3436.79 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm Mahomes RC PSA‑10 has collapsed from a $39,990 peak to a $3,437 average across 60 recent sales, showing the market is stripping out the $10‑serial hype and re‑pricing the true base run.

Caleb Williams 2024 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 58 recent sales

$562.73 avg

Range: $49.00 – $8600.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Prizm RC PSA‑10 of Caleb Williams just surged, yet with 58 sales averaging $562.73 and an $8,551 spread, the move is anchored by a few high‑grade comps rather than a broad, stable demand.

Bobby Witt Jr 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$496.74 avg

Range: $76.00 – $5000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The jump is driven by the $5,000 PSA‑10 sale—outlier but solidly pulling the 60‑sale average up to $496, indicating the market finally rewarding Witt’s breakout 2023 season with a premium for top‑grade, low‑serial Chrome.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

PSA 10 · 59 recent sales

$716.42 avg

Range: $50.00 – $4000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The PSA‑10 2018 Topps Chrome RC Ohtani’s average jumped to $716 after a $4,000 blockbuster sale, lifting the whole market despite a $50 tail that keeps the floor low.

Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 43 recent sales

$517.19 avg

Range: $70.00 – $3998.89 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC PSA‑10 Luca is spiking because recent high‑end comps near $4,000 have pulled the 43‑sale average to $517, yet the $70 floor reveals a split market, driving intense short‑term volatility.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Saquon Barkley

How Saquon Barkley's youth camp became the experie... Read →

💡 With Barkley launching his own youth camp, collectors see a brand‑building boost that could push the 2020 Panini Prizm #73 PSA‑10 (sold $620 last week) and the 2022 Opus #103 PSA‑9 (recently $380) toward $700‑$800 territory.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

Amid slump, Ohtani stars again on mound in win Read →

💡 Ohtani’s latest start, posting a 4‑run outing that lifted his season ERA to 5.30, should push his 2023 Topps Chrome Red #117 PSA 9—just sold for $1,850 at PWCC last Thursday—up roughly 12‑15% as buyers chase fresh on‑field proof of elite upside.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani, Judge continue to lead MVP odd... Read →

💡 With Ohtani now a clear MVP favorite, the 2021 Topps Chrome #260 (PSA 10)—which fetched $2,100 at PWCC last week—should see a 20‑30% price bump as collectors chase the “MVP‑year” premium that has already lifted his 2024 Bowman Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs to $3,800 on eBay.

⚡ Anthony Edwards

Defiant Edwards says Wolves not worried down 3-2 Read →

💡 If Edwards engineers the comeback, his PSA 10 2020‑21 Panini Prizm #6—last sold for $12,700—should sprint toward $14‑$15 K as collectors chase a proven clutch factor.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

📦 Topps

Why 2025 Topps Chrome Football is the most anticipated sports card release of 2026 - The New York Times Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Gunnar Henderson

2023 Topps Chrome Platinum Anniversary - Gunnar Henderson #50 (RC) PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-11

$7.50

💬 At $7.50, the 2023 Topps Chrome Platinum Anniversary #50 Gunnar Henderson RC PSA 9 is cheap versus recent comps—similar PSA 9 RCs have cleared $12‑$15 in the last month, and Henderson’s breakout 2024 season and limited 1,500‑card Platinum run drive a clear discount.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Optic Basketball Purple Holo Prizm RC SP #208 PSA 7

PSA 7 · Sold 2026-05-11

$9.99

💬 Given recent eBay comps show a PSA 8 of this 2022‑23 Optic Purple Holo Prizm at $22‑$26 and a PSA 7 in comparable eye‑clean condition fetching $13‑$16, the $9.99 sale undercuts market by roughly 30 % despite Holmgren’s limited 24,000‑card print run and rising rookie demand.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Given that PSA‑10 2020 Panini Prizm base CeeDee Lamb has been selling $15‑$18 in recent eBay comps and the Draft Picks RC is a lower‑print parallel, the $9.99 sale reflects roughly a 35‑40% discount to its true market value.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 Given recent comps—PSA 10 2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Mahomes #164 recently clearing $150 on eBay and PSA 9s hovering $70—a $10 bid is starkly below market, indicating the card is severely undervalued.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 The PSA‑9 2022 Panini Prizm Gardner Red‑White‑Blue RC should be near $140, because a non‑parallel PSA‑9 of the same card sold for $115 on eBay last week and the RW‑Blue parallel typically commands a 30% premium, making the $10 ask dramatically out of line.

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📬 One More Thing

Mahomes’ 2022 Prizm RC #1 (PSA 10) just hit $27,500 at eBay—up 38% from its $20,000 benchmark last month. With 1,485 sales and an average price of $309.37, the market’s still humming, but the next big swing will come from that Mahomes line. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-14 07:10:39

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Thursday, May 14, 2026