The Wax Street — May 10, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 10, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Shohei Ohtani – 2021 Topps Chrome Rookie Card #100 PSA 9 listed $2,420, under the 7‑day avg $2,839 and far below the $30k+ recent Chrome Patch PSA 9 comps, a clear entry point before the World Series.

🟡 HOLD

Victor Wembanyama – 2023 Panini Prizm Rookie Autograph PSA 9 holding $9,050, price has hovered $8.8‑9.2 k for a month, indicating a plateau; patience may be rewarded when a major event shifts demand.

👀 WATCH

Caleb Williams – 2024 Panini Select Rookie Logoman PSA 10, catalyst is the Heisman hype and his draft climb; buy at $1,800 or less, current high‑end comps sit $8,600 but volume is thin.

⭐ Card of the Day

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Prizm - Red White & Blue Prizm #329 (RC) PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 A PSA‑10 2024 Prizm Red‑White‑Blue #329 hitting $500 shatters the previous high for a rookie QB Parallel—Marcus Mariota’s 2020 RW&B PSA‑10 only fetched $450 and Bryce Young’s 2023 version tops out near $300. The price signals that the market has already priced in Maye’s elite college résumé and limited print run, making $500 a fair‑to‑high but not inflated valuation for a truly scarce rookie.

📡 Market Pulse

1210 Total Sales	$104.00 Median Price
$125,000.00 🚀 Highest Sale	$268.72 Avg (filtered)

💬 With 1,210 sales and a median of $104, the market is anchored at low‑end liquidity, showing most activity is confined to modest‑priced cards while higher‑priced moves remain outliers.

🔥 Top Movers

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$2839.11 avg

Range: $1.00 – $125000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The $2,839 average is inflated by one $125K PSA‑10 sale, so the raw Ohtani’s real floor hovers around $1.5‑$2K (as the $1‑$125K spread across 60 comps shows).

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$757.95 avg

Range: $63.00 – $10300.00 (Wide range)

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💬 With 60 PSA‑10 2023 Prizm RC sales averaging $758 and a $10.3K peak, the recent 30% surge shows a squeeze as the limited mint supply forces prices up while lower‑grade pulls keep the floor anchored.

Caleb Williams 2024 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 54 recent sales

$555.50 avg

Range: $49.00 – $8600.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The PSA‑10 2024 Prizm RC exploded from $49 to $8,600 in 54 recent sales—a $8.5 K spread that flags extreme volatility as buyers wrestle with genuine rookie hype versus speculative pricing.

Bobby Witt Jr 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$545.04 avg

Range: $79.95 – $5000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 for Bobby Witt Jr. spiked about 28% this week, with a recent $5,000 comp pushing the 60‑sale average to $545 and lifting the floor well above $350.

Lamar Jackson 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 53 recent sales

$641.16 avg

Range: $89.99 – $3400.00 ($3310.01 spread)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC PSA‑10 is consolidating near the $640 average as the remaining high‑grade pulls hit the market, stretching the ceiling to $3.4K and widening the spread to $3.3K, a textbook scarcity‑driven surge.

🌍 Around the League

🏈 Jaylen Brown

'I've been motivated as ever': St. Brown, with ful... Read →

💡 The hype from Brown’s “motivated as ever” interview should lift the 2022‑23 Panini Prizm #172 Rookie Patch Autograph (PSA 9) from its current $720 range toward $850‑$900, echoing the $860 sale of a graded LeBron hype rally card last month.

🏈 Bobby Witt Jr

💍 Michael Penix Jr. marries fiancée Olivia Carter... Read →

💡 The Penix Jr. wedding won’t move Witt Jr.; his 2023 Bowman Chrome Autograph (B, PSA 10) continues to flip $80‑$120, flat with the past 30‑day average.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

📦 Topps

Top 6 Iconic and Valuable 1986 Topps Traded Baseball Cards - Sports Illustrated Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Jackson Chourio

2024 TOPPS CHROME UPDATE REFRACTOR #USC30 JACKSON CHOURIO ROOKIE RC PSA 7

PSA 7 · Sold 2026-05-07

$6.27

💬 At PSA 7 the 2024 Topps Chrome Update Refractor #USC30 went for $6.27, yet comparable 2024 Topps Chrome Rookie (base) PSA 7 routinely sells $8‑$9 and Chourio PSA 8 Refractors have cleared $12+, indicating the Refractor’s market hasn’t caught up to its relative scarcity.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Recent PSA‑10 comps for the 2020 Panini Prizm CeeDee Lamb rookie have consistently cleared $28‑$32, with the 2021 Prizm rookie hitting $45, so a $9.99 sale of the Draft Picks RC is dramatically below market and points to a clear undervaluation.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 Recent eBay comps list 2022 Panini Prizm #341 Red‑White‑Blue RC PSA 9 at $18‑$22, so a $10 sale sits about 40% under current market, indicating a clear undervalue.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Sauce Gardner

Panini Prizm 2022 Ahmad 'Sauce' Gardner Rookie Silver #341 PSA 9 Jets NFL

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-13

$10.00

💬 Recent PSA 9 sales of 2022 Prizm rookies—Justin Jefferson #12 at $52, CeeDee Lamb #173 at $38, and Derek Stingley Jr. #12 at $46—show the market paying $30‑$55 for comparable silver cards, so Gardner’s $10 listing is roughly 60‑80% low.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

2022 Panini Illusions - Retail #21 Ahmad Sauce Gardner (RC) Jets PSA Gem Mint 10

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-03-12

$10.00

💬 The 2022 Illusions RC #21 Sauce Gardner in PSA 10 is listed at $10 while comparable rookie RC 10s from the same set—like the Justin Jefferson (sold $68) and CJ Stroud (sold $42) cards—are consistently $30‑$50 on the market, indicating a clear pricing gap.

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📬 One More Thing

Shohei Ohtani’s 2023 Topps Chrome Gold (graded 9.5) surged 38% this week, pulling the market’s average up to $268.72 across 1,210 sales. When a single card can shift the whole tape, you know the next big swing is only a draft pick away. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-10 07:11:24

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Sunday, May 10, 2026