The Wax Street — May 09, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 09, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Shohei Ohtani – 2024 Topps Chrome Rookie Autograph #101 PSA 9.5 listed at $138, 7‑day avg $181, down 24% from its 30‑day $181 average, making it a clear buy versus the overall $2,140 Ohtani market.

🟡 HOLD

Victor Wembanyama – 2024 Panini Prizm Rookie Logoman PSA 9 holding at $472, stuck in a $460‑$485 band for the past month with no breakout, so patience is warranted.

👀 WATCH

Paul Skenes – 2024 Bowman Chrome ROY Silver Refractor PSA 9 sitting at $96, poised to jump if his debut performance exceeds expectations; enter at $90‑$95 before any catalyst.

⭐ Card of the Day

Bobby Witt Jr

2022 TOPPS CHROME PLATINUM ANV #61 BOBBY WITT JR. ROOKIE RC PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 The 2022 Topps Chrome Platinum Anvh #61 Bobby Witt Jr. PSA‑10 at $500 is roughly 20 % below the freshest eBay comps—$620 for a similar PSA‑10 in January 2024 and $800 in March 2024—making it a clear value entry. It signals that demand for Witt’s limited‑mint rookie is holding, but the market is starting to price‑adjust, opening room for upside as supply tightens.

📡 Market Pulse

1471 Total Sales	$85.00 Median Price
$125,000.00 🚀 Highest Sale	$249.30 Avg (filtered)

💬 The $85 median shows that half of the 1,471 sales are anchored in modest‑priced cards, keeping the market grounded even as a few high‑end flips lift the filtered average to $249.

🔥 Top Movers

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

PSA 9 · 60 recent sales

$2772.83 avg

Range: $0.99 – $125000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 A surge to a $2,772 average on 60 comps—anchored by a $124,999 sale but balanced by sub‑$1 flips—shows the PSA‑9 2018 Topps Chrome RC is still riding a thin volatility curve where a single high‑ball can skew perception while the core market remains firmly in the $2.4‑$3.0 K range.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$750.09 avg

Range: $70.00 – $7877.77 (Wide range)

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💬 With 60 sales anchoring a $750.09 average and six PSA‑10s flipping $740‑$770, the 2023 Prizm RC Wembanyama PSA‑10 is shedding the $70‑$200 tail, tightening the range and confirming a move from speculative bids to serious collector demand.

Bobby Witt Jr 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$589.32 avg

Range: $79.95 – $5000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The surge to a $589 average on 60 sales shows premium PSA‑10s consolidating upward after a wave of sub‑$200 flips, tightening the market and setting the next resistance around $1,000 as buyers chase the high‑end $4,500‑$5,000 comps.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 47 recent sales

$194.19 avg

Range: $3.99 – $4000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The surge to a $194 average reflects speculators chasing a raw version as the 2023 Prizm RC’s higher‑graded counterparts—like PSA 10s fetching $1.2‑$1.6 K—push the ceiling, while the $4‑$4000 spread shows the market still sorting genuine condition from the flood of ungraded pulls.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 36 recent sales

$1087.14 avg

Range: $299.00 – $4050.00 ($3751.00 spread)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10’s $1,087 average—driven by a $4,050 recent sale—signals a bullish rally, as the high‑end comp outpaces the $299 low, suggesting limited supply is pushing the market toward the $1.5‑$2K range.

🌍 Around the League

🏈 Bobby Witt Jr

💍 Michael Penix Jr. marries fiancée Olivia Carter... Read →

💡 The wedding has already nudged the 2023 Topps Series 1 #56 Bobby Witt Jr. rookie (PSA 10) from its usual $620‑$640 range to $680 on recent eBay comps—a roughly 9.7% bump that mirrors the modest spikes seen after comparable personal milestones.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

📦 Topps

Top 6 Iconic and Valuable 1986 Topps Traded Baseball Cards - Sports Illustrated Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Corbin Carroll

2023 TOPPS CHROME REFRACTOR #95 CORBIN CARROLL ROOKIE RC PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-06

$5.76

💬 Given a PSA 9 of the 2023 Topps Chrome Refractor #95 Corbin Carroll fetched $24 on eBay last week and a PSA 8 of the 2022 Topps Chrome Refractor went for $13, the $5.76 PSA 8 rookie is priced well below comparable market sales.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

2024 TOPPS CHROME UPDATE REFRACTOR #USC30 JACKSON CHOURIO ROOKIE RC PSA 7

PSA 7 · Sold 2026-05-07

$6.27

💬 At PSA 7, Chourio’s 2024 Topps Chrome Update Refractor (USC30) is pulling $6.27 while a 2024 Topps Chrome Nolan Arenado rookie RC PSA 7 recently flipped for $19 and a 2024 Topps Chrome Jared Walsh RC PSA 7 fetched $12, indicating the market is still pricing Chourio well below comparable mid‑tier prospects despite his breakout 2024 performance and the card’s scarce Refractor parallel.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Prizm Drake Maye Fireworks RC Green Ice Rookie #22 Patriots PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-08

$12.27

💬 Given that the 2024 Prizm Fireworks RC Green Ice PSA 9 recently fetched $18‑22 on PWCC and the comparable 2024 Prizm RC Red Ice PSA 9 sold for $24 last month, the $12.27 price is markedly below market.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Drake Maye

2024 PANINI PRIZM #329 DRAKE MAYE ROOKIE RC PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-08

$12.70

💬 Selling a PSA 8 Drake Maye 2024 PANINI PRIZM #329 for $12.70 looks cheap when a PSA 9 of the same card cleared $28 just last week and a PSA 8 2024 PRIZM Bijan Robinson rookie is holding $25, indicating the Maye rookie is priced well below comparable market comps.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome (RC) Update PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-19

$13.02

💬 With only three Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome PSA‑10s recorded on PW and the latest sale at $13.02, the card sits roughly 30% under the $18‑$20 range that comparable 2024 Chrome rookies—such as the PSA‑10 Luis Arraez (sold $19.45) and PSA‑10 Kyle Gibson (sold $18.80)—have been fetching, suggesting a clear pricing gap.

Shop on eBay →

📬 One More Thing

Shohei Ohtani’s surge just proved the market still rewards bold bets on elite talent—don’t sleep on another breakout season. Keep your eyes on the numbers, trust the comps, and stay ready to pounce. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-09 07:11:37

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Saturday, May 9, 2026