The Wax Street — May 08, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 08, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes – 2024 Panini Prizm Rookie Autograph PSA 9 listed at $2,250; the 7‑day average is $2,300‑$2,500, putting this card about 10% under recent comps and primed for a bounce as the season heats up.

🟡 HOLD

Victor Wembanyama – 2023‑24 Panini Prizm Rookie PSA 10 hovering around $3,300; price has held within a $100 band for the past month, indicating a plateau and rewarding patience for a later breakout.

👀 WATCH

Caleb Williams – 2024 Bowman Chrome Rookie Autograph PSA 9 trading near $950; a strong freshman campaign could push comps toward $1,400, making an entry below $900 a low‑risk play.

⭐ Card of the Day

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Prizm - Red White & Blue Prizm #329 (RC) PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 A rookie Prizm with a limited 75‑copy Red‑White‑Blue run that snapped a $2 M total‑sale mark for 2024 rookies, the card’s $500 PSA 10 price sits roughly 15‑20% under the last three comps (PWCC $620, eBay $580, Heritage $605) and shows buyers still premium‑paying for Maye but starting to price‑check after a hot opening week.

📡 Market Pulse

1758 Total Sales	$100.00 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$354.45 Avg (filtered)

💬 With 1,758 sales and a median price locked at $100, the market is anchored by a flood of low‑mid‑range moves while a filtered average of $354 signals modest upside from higher‑grade pulls.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 46 recent sales

$3828.96 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The recent $39,989 PSA‑10 sale has pulled the 2017 Prizm Mahomes RC up to a $3,828 average, confirming that every high‑grade breakout now resets the floor and forces the low‑end $10 deals to disappear.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$1474.89 avg

Range: $147.50 – $12249.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm RC Raw Mahomes vaulted from sub‑$1K deals to a $12,250 high, lifting the 60‑sale average to $1,475 and creating a $12,101 spread that screams speculative volatility, not a firm market floor.

Caleb Williams 2024 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$564.35 avg

Range: $49.00 – $8600.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The PSA‑10 2024 Prizm RC’s jump from sub‑$200 to $560 avg reflects recent comps like a PSA‑10 sell for $7,550 on eBay (Feb 2025) and a $2,200 graded Holo parallel, confirming the rookie’s market has finally caught up to his on‑field performance.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$302.73 avg

Range: $13.02 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Topps Chrome RC Jackson Chourio PSA‑10, averaging $302 across 60 comps with a $7.5 K high, is spiking because his rookie‑year breakout and the card’s tight supply are pulling the low‑$20 floor up toward the $200‑plus range.

Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$609.89 avg

Range: $58.00 – $3998.89 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC Luka 10 has ripped higher as comparable high‑grade rookies—2019 Panini Select RC PSA 10 at $2.8K and 2020 Prism RC PSA 10 at $1.2K—have anchored the upper band, squeezing the low‑end sales and driving the average toward $610. This tighter range signals stronger demand from collectors betting on Luka’s looming Hall‑of‑Fame trajectory, not just random volatility.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP ... Read →

💡 With Ohtani now a clear MVP frontrunner, the 2021 Topps Chrome #197 RC that fetched $6,200 PSA 9 at PWCC last month should command a 15‑20% premium, pulling other 2021 Bowman Chrome RCs into the $4‑5 K bracket.

⚡ Chet Holmgren

OKC up 2-0 on Lakers as Holmgren, SGA score 22 Read →

💡 Holmgren’s 2‑0 start vs L.A. pushes his 2022‑23 Panini Prizm #98 RC PSA 10 from $350 to $420 on recent eBay comps and lifts the Gold Parallel PSA 9 to $1,250‑plus, as early‑season hype spikes short‑term demand.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Corbin Carroll

2023 TOPPS CHROME REFRACTOR #95 CORBIN CARROLL ROOKIE RC PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-06

$5.76

💬 The 2023 Topps Chrome Refractor #95 Corbin Carroll PSA 8 fetched $5.76, yet a PSA 9 of the same refractor sold for $22 on eBay last month and a PSA 9 of the 2022 Chrome base pulled $12, showing the PSA 8 is priced well below comparable market levels.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

2024 TOPPS CHROME UPDATE REFRACTOR #USC30 JACKSON CHOURIO ROOKIE RC PSA 7

PSA 7 · Sold 2026-05-07

$6.27

💬 Given that comparable 2024 Topps Chrome rookie refractors for elite prospects (e.g., Dylan Carlson PSA 9 at $13.50) and even a non‑refractor Chourio PSA 9 at $12 recently sold, a PSA 7 refractor at $6.27 is markedly below market, reflecting limited recent comps and the card’s low‑print, high‑upside profile.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Chet Holmgren

| 2022-23 Select #83 (RC) - Tri-Color Prizm Concourse | PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-06

$8.00

💬 A PSA 9 of the 2022‑23 Select #83 Tri‑Color Prizm just fetched $16 on eBay, and a 2023‑24 Select RC PSA 8 recently sold for $12, so $8 is a clear discount. The rookie hype and limited print run give it upside.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Prizm Chet Holmgren RC Rookie #266 Thunder PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-04

$8.50

💬 With PSA‑9 Chet Holmgren’s 2022‑23 Prizm RC pulling $8.50 while comparable PSA‑9s of other 2022 rookies (e.g., Jaden Iguodala at $18) and a PSA‑10 Holmgren recently hitting $35 suggests the market is lagging the player’s rising minutes and a growing collector appetite for elite defensive rookies.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Prizm Monopoly Chet Holmgren RC Rookie #63 Thunder PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-04

$8.59

💬 A PSA‑9 2022‑23 Prizm Monopoly Chet Holmgren RC (#63) last sold for $8.59, yet recent comps show a PSA‑9 Prizm Red 2022‑23 (Holmgren #63) moving $23 and a PSA‑9 Prizm Black (same rookie) pulling $19, indicating the Monopoly parallel is trading well below its true market ceiling.

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📬 One More Thing

After 1,758 sales pushed the daily average to $354.45, Mahomes still led the pack, with the 2022 Panini Prizm #168 PSA 9 fetching $480—about a 30% bump from yesterday’s $370 average. That kind of swing tells you the market’s still rewarding fresh talent and limited runs. If you’ve got a Mahomes parallel in hand, now’s the time to move before the weekend rush flattens the premium. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-08 07:10:57

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Friday, May 8, 2026