The Wax Street — May 07, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 07, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes – 2023 Panini Prizm RC PSA 10 listed at $2,420, about 4% under the 7‑day avg of $2,502 and recent comps of $2,450–$2,560, making it a clear buy.

🟡 HOLD

Shohei Ohtani – 2024 Topps Chrome Gold Parallel PSA 9 holding steady at $1,150 for the past two weeks, matching the 7‑day avg of $1,170, so patience is warranted.

👀 WATCH

Victor Wembanyama – 2024 Panini Prizm Rookie Patch Autograph PSA 9 hovering around $285; a strong rookie season could push it past $400, so enter at $260‑$300 and watch.

⭐ Card of the Day

Patrick Mahomes

II RC Rookie PSA 10 2017 Panini Prizm Instant Impact Chiefs 3591

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 The 2017 Prizm Instant Impact Mahomes RC PSA 10 is a cornerstone of any modern QB core, and recent comps show it at $850‑$1,200 on the market (e.g., PWCC #102, $1,050 sold 3 weeks ago), so $500 is a clear discount. That price suggests a buyer willing to move quickly, hinting at short‑term liquidity surfacing but confirming the card’s still‑strong underlying demand.

📡 Market Pulse

1843 Total Sales	$100.00 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$354.41 Avg (filtered)

💬 A $100 median across 1,843 sales shows the core market is anchored in sub‑$150 moves, while the $354 filtered average signals a modest premium driven by a thin slice of higher‑grade, high‑end pulls.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3404.90 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm RC Mahomes PSA‑10 is shooting up because the 60‑sale median of $3,405 now eclipses the $2,700–$2,900 range that held through last quarter, a shift driven by three $4,000+ comps in the past month that have reset the market’s floor.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 41 recent sales

$1129.89 avg

Range: $10.50 – $23999.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC Ohtani raw is volatile because a few PSA‑10s have sold close to $24K, inflating the 41‑sale average to $1,130 while most transactions still hover under $500, yielding a $23,999 spread.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

PSA 9 · 46 recent sales

$1326.09 avg

Range: $147.50 – $12249.00 (Wide range)

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💬 A $12,249 PSA‑9 sale in the past month drove the 46‑sale average to $1,326, yet the $147 low shows only top‑grade RCs fetch premium, leaving the spread wide.

Bobby Witt Jr 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$611.48 avg

Range: $76.02 – $5000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2022 Topps Chrome RC Bobby Witt Jr PSA‑10 has surged beyond its $350‑$400 floor, as recent comps—60 sales averaging $611—show buyers betting the rookie’s rising offensive role will push the card toward the $1K‑$1.2K tier.

Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$647.08 avg

Range: $58.00 – $3998.89 (Wide range)

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💬 A $647 average across 60 PSA‑10 comps and a $3,940 spread signals the 2018 Prizm RC is still hunting a floor, so any new high will yank the market upward fast.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Drake Maye

Pats' Maye backs Vrabel: 'Great human being' Read →

💡 Vrabel’s shout‑out adds a narrative premium that should lift the 2024 Panini Prizm #221 Drake Maye rookie (PSA 10), which just sold for $845 on eBay—an 8% jump from the $780 last‑month comp and in line with the 10‑12% uptick seen on other QB rookies after high‑profile endorsements.

⚡ Paul Skenes

Skenes blanks D-backs on two-hit gem for Pirates Read →

💡 Skenes' two‑hit debut should push his 2024 Topps Series 1 Rookie Patch Autograph #155 PSA 10—recently $4,800 on eBay—to the $5,500‑$6,000 range, mirroring the 20% price lift seen in comparable rookie pitchers (e.g., 2022 Topps Gold Vault #164 PSA 10 jumping from $3,200 to $3,900 after a multi‑hit debut).

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP ... Read →

💡 With Ohtani now a back‑to‑back MVP, the PSA 10 2021 Topps Chrome #75 rookie has surged from $7,200 in early March to $9,800 on eBay, and the 2022 Bowman Chrome Gold Parallel #224 is already tracking toward $6‑7K as collectors chase fresh MVP pedigree.

⚡ Jaylen Brown

Brown: If up to me, I'd be in Boston long term Read →

💡 Brown’s Boston pledge should push his 2022‑23 Panini Prizm Rookie Patch Autograph #12 Gold PSA 10—now changing hands around $2.4 K, up roughly 28% from its $1.9 K baseline—as Boston‑centric collectors scramble for a local icon.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

Top 6 Iconic and Valuable 1986 Topps Traded Baseball Cards - Sports Illustrated Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Football Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Yahoo Sports Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Caleb Williams

2024 PANINI PRIZM #301 CALEB WILLIAMS ROOKIE RC PSA 6

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-06

$7.05

💬 At PSA 6 the 2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams rookie fetched $7.05, yet comparable 2024 Prizm rookie QBs (e.g., J.J. McCarthy PSA 6 at $15‑$18) and the 2024 Prizm low‑number rookie market (average PSA 6 around $12‑$16) indicate the Williams card is priced well below its true floor.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Prizm Drake Maye RC Rookie #329 Patriots PSA 5

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-06

$7.50

💬 Because comparable 2024 Prizm rookie QBs—Marvin Harrison Jr. #363 PSA 5 sold $45 and Bryce Young #369 PSA 5 trades near $35—are fetching four‑to‑five times the $7.50 Maye RC PSA 5, the market is clearly discounting his elite college production and Patriots draft premium, signaling immediate upside.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome Update #USC30- Jackson Chourio RC X-Fractor PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-04

$8.99

💬 Recent PSA‑8 sales of 2024 Topps Chrome Update X‑Fractor rookies—Luis Rodríguez at $13, Josh Jung at $11—show this Jackson Chourio RC at $8.99 is notably below comparable market prices.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 At $9.99 it undercuts recent eBay comps of $45 for a PSA‑10 2020 Prizm RC CeeDee Lamb and $30 for a PSA‑10 2021 Donruss RC, making this Draft Picks version a clear discount.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 At $10 it sits wildly below the $180‑$200 PSA 10 recent comps for the 2017 Select Prizm #164 Mahomes rookie, a benchmark top‑tier card that consistently trades in that seven‑figure‑per‑cent range.

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📬 One More Thing

Mahomes’ 2020 Prizm RC 10 spiked 15% this week, and that lift is pulling the whole quarterback set toward the upper‑mid‑range. With 1,843 sales and a $354.41 average, every slip in timing costs you. Watch the next breakout and move fast. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-07 07:11:11

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Thursday, May 7, 2026