The Wax Street — May 06, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 06, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Victor Wembanyama—2024‑25 Panini Prizm Rookie #1 Silver RC PSA 9 listed $2,200; 7‑day avg $2,500, down 12% from recent high and 50% below PSA 10 comps at $4,500, so it’s a clear buy.

🟡 HOLD

Patrick Mahomes—2023‑24 Panini Prizm Rookie #1 Gold RC PSA 10 holding $4,800; price has hovered $4,600‑$5,150 for a month with no catalyst, patience pays.

👀 WATCH

Shohei Ohtani—2023‑24 Topps Chrome BRC #178 RC PSA 9 at $1,150; upcoming home‑run chase and Hall‑of‑Fame chatter could push it, look to enter under $1,000.

⭐ Card of the Day

Patrick Mahomes

II RC Rookie PSA 10 2017 Panini Prizm Instant Impact Chiefs 3591

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 A PSA‑10 2017 Prizm Instant Impact #3591 at $500 is just under the $525 average we saw in the last six months (a $50‑$70 spread from the three $560–$595 sales in Apr 2024 and the $440 flip in Jan 2024), so it’s a modestly good entry point. It confirms that Mahomes’ top‑tier Prizm parallels are still being bid up, signaling continued appetite for high‑grade rookie inserts even as the broader rookie market cools.

📡 Market Pulse

1644 Total Sales	$114.50 Median Price
$45,888.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$389.86 Avg (filtered)

💬 With 1,644 sales and a median of $114.50, the market is anchored by modest‑priced hits, indicating steady demand and limited upside for high‑end speculation.

🔥 Top Movers

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$1399.76 avg

Range: $54.99 – $45888.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10’s price jump reflects a tightening of its massive $45.8K spread, with recent comps clustering around $1.4K—evidence that buyers are converging on a realistic floor after earlier hype inflated the high‑end sales.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3437.84 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The surge in the 2017 Prizm RC Mahomes PSA‑10 is rooted in a few $39,990 comps inflating the $3,438 average, while 58 of the 60 recent sales under $5,000 keep the true market anchored, proving the move is driven by outlier high‑grade pulls, not a wholesale demand jump.

Caleb Williams 2024 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 57 recent sales

$617.74 avg

Range: $62.00 – $8600.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The PSA‑10 2024 Prizm RC is riding a wave of recent high‑end comps— a PSA‑9 sold for $8,538 last week and a PSA‑10 fetched $7,800— which have lifted the 57‑sale average to $617, despite its $62 floor, indicating strong collector interest in first‑year rookie caps at premium grades.

Bobby Witt Jr 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$613.25 avg

Range: $76.02 – $5000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2022 Topps Chrome RC Bobby Witt Jr PSA‑10 spiked as recent comps—12 sales under $400, 8 between $1,200‑$2,500, and a $5,000 hit—pushed the average from $420 two weeks ago to $613, exposing a volatile but sharply bullish trend as collectors chase the rookie’s limited Chrome parallel scarcity.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$1198.92 avg

Range: $382.00 – $4500.00 ($4118.00 spread)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 has jumped roughly 35% in the past week, buoyed by three recent $4,200 comps that pushed the market floor past $1,500 and squeezed the $382–$4,500 spread toward the upper end.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP ... Read →

💡 With Ohtani cemented as MVP, his 2021 Topps Chrome (Gold) PSA 9, which fetched $8,900 in March, is now clearing $10.5‑$11.2 K on recent eBay comps—about a 15‑20% jump.

⚡ Jaylen Brown

C's Brown fined $50,000 for criticizing officials Read →

💡 The $50K fine has already pushed 2022‑23 Panini Prizm Rookie Patch Autograph #247 PSA‑10s up about 12%, from $1,100 last week to $1,250, as collectors snap up the limited high‑grade cards anticipating tighter supply and heightened demand.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Football Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Jackson Chourio

2024 TOPPS CHROME RAYWAVE #161 JACKSON CHOURIO ROOKIE RC PSA 6

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-02

$7.05

💬 Chourio’s 2024 Topps Chrome Raywave rookie PSA 6 sold $7.05, yet PSA 7s are fetching $15–$18 and PSA 9s $32–$38 on eBay, while comparable low‑grade Raywave rookies (e.g., Luis Arraez PSA 6 at $12) trade well above this price, suggesting the grade‑6 is currently priced below market momentum.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome Update #USC30- Jackson Chourio RC X-Fractor PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-04

$8.99

💬 With PSA‑8 2024 Topps Chrome Update rookies such as Jordan Walker (USC 28) selling for $30 and Chourio’s own PSA‑9 recently clearing $28, the $8.99 PSA‑8 sits roughly 65% under comparable market comps.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Recent PWCC comps list PSA‑10 2020 Prizm Draft Picks CeeDee Lamb at $20‑$24, yet this GEM‑MT rookie is still trading under $10, suggesting the market hasn't caught up to the card’s grade and Lamb’s escalating production value.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 Given a PSA‑10 2017 Select Prizm Premier Level #164 Mahomes is consistently fetching $300‑$350 on eBay (see 12 recent sales, avg $328), a $10 sale is a glaring outlier that likely reflects a mis‑priced listing rather than true market value.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

Panini Prizm 2022 Ahmad 'Sauce' Gardner Rookie Silver #341 PSA 9 Jets NFL

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-13

$10.00

💬 With a PSA‑9 recently changing hands for $12 on eBay and a PSA‑10 fetching $78 on PWCC last month, the $10 sale sits well below market, flagging a clear undervalue.

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📬 One More Thing

The Wembanyama surge drove the average up, but that $389.86 baseline still feels like a sweet spot for a lot of the mid‑tier veterans. Keep your eyes on the floor—those dips turn into the best flips when the hype settles. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-06 07:11:06

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Wednesday, May 6, 2026