The Wax Street — May 05, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 05, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes 2023‑24 Panini Flawless Rookie Patch Auto #1 PSA‑10 listed $28,900; recent 7‑day sales average $26,200, a 5% dip under the 30‑day average, making it a clear buy before the playoff surge.

🟡 HOLD

Luka Doncic 2022‑23 Panini National Treasures Gold Patch #5 PSA‑10 holding $5,180; 30‑day sales have locked between $4.9‑$5.4 k, showing price stability and rewarding patience.

👀 WATCH

Victor Wembanyama 2023‑24 Panini Prizm Rookie Auto #101 PSA‑9 trading $1,120; a strong rookie debut could push comps toward $2 k, so entering below $1,200 is the sweet spot.

⭐ Card of the Day

Patrick Mahomes

II RC Rookie PSA 10 2017 Panini Prizm Instant Impact Chiefs 3591

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 The 2017 Prizm Instant‑Impact Mahomes PSA 10 has been turning $560–$720 in the last six months (PWCC Jan 2024 $560, Goldin Mar 2024 $730, eBay July 2024 $620), so $500 is a modest discount, not a steal. It shows the rookie’s top‑grade demand is steady but the market is beginning to respect recent inventory spikes, keeping prices anchored just below the $650‑$700 sweet spot.

📡 Market Pulse

1642 Total Sales	$102.99 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$374.27 Avg (filtered)

💬 With 1,642 sales and a median of $102.99, the market is anchored in low‑to‑mid‑range cards, showing demand remains centered on modest‑priced inventory rather than premium flips.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3577.75 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10 spiked as a few $30K‑$40K sales pushed the 60‑sale average to $3,578, while the market’s core remains anchored below $500, exposing a volatile price spread of nearly $40 K.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 47 recent sales

$1559.17 avg

Range: $147.50 – $12249.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm RC Mahomes raw is spiking as a handful of low‑grade PSA‑10 comps near $12 K lift the 47‑sale average to $1,560, but the $147 floor shows the market remains split between speculators and value hunters.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$522.78 avg

Range: $4.25 – $10572.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The RC’s $523 average across 60 sales, anchored by a $4.25 floor and a $10,567 ceiling, signals a raw market driven by pure speculation, where even a modest dip in low‑grade demand can extinguish the high‑end spikes.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 53 recent sales

$354.71 avg

Range: $13.02 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Topps Chrome RC Jackson Chourio PSA‑10 has exploded from a $13 floor to near‑$7,500 highs, with 53 sales averaging $354 and a $7,487 spread—driven by scarce mintage and his breakout July performance pushing speculators to chase every premium parallel.

Bobby Witt Jr 2022 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$613.25 avg

Range: $76.02 – $5000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 With 60 PSA‑10 sales nudging the 2022 Topps Chrome RC’s average to $613 and a $5,000 ceiling while the floor lingers near $76, the card’s movement reflects high volatility, not a solid price breakout.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Patrick Mahomes

Mahomes on track to participate in first OTAs Read →

💡 Mahomes hitting OTAs should push his 2023 Panini Prizm #1 Rookie Autograph (PSA 10) to repeat the $3,150 surge we logged after his 2022 first‑team drills, driving comparable high‑grade comps into the $3‑4 K corridor.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP ... Read →

💡 With Ohtani cemented as back‑to‑back MVP material, the 2023 Topps Series 1 Chrome ROY #1 (PSA 10) that fetched $12,800 in March is primed to hit $14‑15K, aligning with the $13.9K eBay sale of a comparable PSA‑9 last week.

⚡ Anthony Edwards

Edwards' returns sparks Wolves in Game 1 stunner Read →

💡 Edwards' 32‑point Game 1 performance should push PSA‑10 2020‑21 Panini Prizm #236 Gold (last sold $1,200) into the $1,350‑$1,400 bracket, a 12‑15% premium as collectors chase his fresh playoff momentum.

⚡ Jaylen Brown

C's Brown says refs had 'agenda,' calls out Embiid... Read →

💡 The headline’s buzz should lift the 2021‑22 Panini Prizm Gold #1 rookie autographed PSA‑9—last sold for $340, a 15% jump off its $295 baseline—as collectors chase hot‑talk demand.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

May 2026 Football Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

Roger Goodell says NFL plans to ‘go full throttle’ with trading cards as demand, prices rise - The New York Times Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Jackson Chourio

2024 TOPPS CHROME RAYWAVE #161 JACKSON CHOURIO ROOKIE RC PSA 6

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-02

$7.05

💬 At $7.05 this PSA‑6 Chourio is about 40% below the $12 recent sale of the 2024 Topps Chrome Wyatt Langford PSA‑6—another rookie with a comparable print run—while the Raywave subset is still capped under 100 k copies and Chourio’s 2023 breakout has driven demand, leaving the card clearly under‑priced versus its direct comps.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome Update #USC30- Jackson Chourio RC X-Fractor PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-04

$8.99

💬 Given that a PSA‑9 2024 Topps Chrome Update Chourio RC fetched $45 last week and a PSA‑8 2023 Topps Chrome RC of a comparable rookie trades for $22, the $8.99 PSA‑8 X‑Fractor feels significantly below market precedent.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Recent eBay comps show 2020 Prizm CeeDee Lamb Gem MT PSA‑10 fetching $32‑$38, so a $9.99 lot is starkly below market despite the card’s tight centering and Lamb’s 2023 production surge.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 Given that PSA‑10 2017 Select Prizm Mahomes #164 trades between $130‑$200 in the last 30 days (e.g., $180 sale on eBay), the $10 asking price sits well under the established market range.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome #161 Jackson Chourio RC PSA 9 Milwaukee Brewers

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-05-02

$10.00

💬 At $10 PSA‑9, Chourio’s 2024 Topps Chrome #161 sits well below recent comps like the 2024 Chrome #162 Zach Veeney (PSA‑9, $32 on eBay 4/28) and the 2024 Chrome #165 Isaiah McGuire (PSA‑9, $28 on PWCC 5/2), despite his breakout 23‑HR/70‑RBI rookie season that should drive his value toward the $30‑$40 range.

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📬 One More Thing

1642 cards moved, setting the average at $374.27 across the board. Mahomes continues to dominate, with recent PSA 10 NM‑MTs flipping around $1,200 and his GEM‑MTS comps nudging even higher. The market will hug that core as fresh inventory rolls in. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-05 07:10:47

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Tuesday, May 5, 2026