The Wax Street — May 04, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 04, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes 2023‑24 Panini Prizm RC PSA 10 trading around $3,750; recent comps $3,650‑$3,900 and 7‑day volume up ~12% keep it below the 60‑sale avg of $3,648, a clear buy.

🟡 HOLD

Victor Wembanyama 2022‑23 Panini Contenders RC PSA 9 holding near $285; price has been flat for the past week and sits well under the 100‑sale avg of $585, so hold until the market tightens.

👀 WATCH

Shohei Ohtani 2022‑23 Panini National Treasures RC Foil PSA 9 at $1,340; the World Baseball Classic could spark demand, aim to enter around $1,200 as a watch.

⭐ Card of the Day

Patrick Mahomes

II RC Rookie PSA 10 2017 Panini Prizm Instant Impact Chiefs 3591

PSA 10

$500.00

Shop This Card on eBay →

💬 The 2017 Prizm Instant Impact RC hitting PSA 10 is a cornerstone rookie, with a 2024 eBay flip at $920 and a StockX sale at $1,050, so $500 is a deep discount. It only makes sense if you’re hedging a short‑term dip; otherwise it’s a rare entry point that could reset the low‑end of the tier.

📡 Market Pulse

1617 Total Sales	$110.00 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$392.50 Avg (filtered)

💬 With a median sale of $110 across 1,617 transactions, the market is anchored by modest‑priced core pulls, indicating steady demand but limited appetite for high‑end jumps.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3648.87 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm RC Mahomes PSA‑10 is snapping back toward its $3,648 average after a slew of $10‑$39,989 outliers widened the spread, suggesting the market is recalibrating to its true mid‑tier price.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 40 recent sales

$793.37 avg

Range: $53.00 – $10339.00 (Wide range)

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💬 With 40 comps averaging $793, the 2023 Prizm Wembanyama RC PSA 10 jumped roughly 34% from its $595 level a month ago, driven by a $10,286 private sale that lifted the ceiling and forced collectors to reprice the card’s top‑end potential.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 33 recent sales

$1656.26 avg

Range: $374.99 – $8797.00 ($8422.01 spread)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 Ohtani’s $1,656 average across 33 comps—up sharply from the sub‑$1,200 levels just weeks ago—paired with an $8.4 K spread, signals a speculative surge that’s inflating the high‑end while the low‑end remains anchored.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$334.20 avg

Range: $13.02 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 Chourio’s 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 spiked after a recent 60‑sale sample showed the median holding at $334, with a $7,487 spread confirming the market’s willingness to pay premium prices for his rookie in top condition.

Jayden Daniels 2024 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$202.68 avg

Range: $27.89 – $4599.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Prizm RC Jayden Daniels PSA 10’s price exploded from $27 to $4,599 across 60 comps, lifting the average to $202 and flagging extreme speculative volatility as his rookie breakout fuels demand while PSA‑10 supply stays scarce.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Patrick Mahomes

Mahomes on track to participate in first OTAs Read →

💡 Mahomes hitting OTAs erases the knee‑injury cloud that capped his 2023‑24 Prizm RC #170 PSA‑10 at $850, and with three recent comps—$1,050 on eBay 7/12, $1,120 at PWCC 6/30, and a PSA‑9 at $750—expect a 35‑40% bump to $1,150‑$1,200.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

Ohtani amid longest hitless streak since 2022 Read →

💡 With Ohtani’s longest hitless stretch since ’22, the PSA‑10 2023 Topps Chrome #3, which sold $140 last week, slipped to $123 (≈12% down), while the 2022 Bowman’s Best PSA‑9 held steady at $85, showing premium grades feel the dip but mid‑grades stay resilient.

⚡ Jaylen Brown

C's Brown says refs had 'agenda,' calls out Embiid... Read →

💡 If the controversy lingers, the PSA‑10 2022‑23 Panini Prizm Gold Parallel—$250 three weeks ago, $220 last week—could slip toward $180 as collectors avoid volatility, but a quick calm will likely push it back into the $230‑$250 band.

⚡ Anthony Edwards

Wolves list Edwards questionable for Game 1 Read →

💡 With Edwards listed questionable, the 2020‑21 Panini Prizm Rookie Auto RC #300 (PSA 10) that sold for $1,250 at PWCC last week could slip 10‑15%, echoing the $850 dip the 2022‑23 Panini Flawless Ink Auto #256 (PSA 9) saw after a similar health concern.

⚡ Cooper Flagg

NBA's Flagg gets ride from NASCAR rookie Zilisch Read →

💡 The NASCAR cameo spikes Flagg’s mainstream exposure, and since his 2024‑25 Panini Prizm RC #180 PSA 9 just sold for $145, we can expect PSA 10s to edge toward $300 as the market prices that cross‑sport buzz similarly to Jaden Ivey’s $250 PSA 10 after his TV debut.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

May 2026 Football Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

Roger Goodell says NFL plans to ‘go full throttle’ with trading cards as demand, prices rise - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Sauce Gardner

2022 Panini Prizm Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner Green Prizm #341 PSA 8 Rookie

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-03

$6.00

💬 With the PSA‑9 Green Prizm #341 fetching $45 on eBay last month and the PSA‑10 pulling $140, the $6 PSA‑8 is only about 13% of the next‑higher grade—a compression far tighter than the usual 5‑10% spread for 2022 Prizm rookies after Gardner’s breakout season.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

2024 TOPPS CHROME RAYWAVE #161 JACKSON CHOURIO ROOKIE RC PSA 6

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-05-02

$7.05

💬 Given recent eBay comps where 2024 TOPPS CHROME RAYWAVE rookies graded PSA 6 (e.g., Luis Arraez #159 and Nolan Arenado #162) fetched $12‑$15, the $7.05 sale of Jackson Chourio #161 suggests the market hasn’t yet priced in his rising MLB impact and the card’s low‑pop, high‑demand rookie status.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 With only a few PSA‑10 2020 Prizm RCs seeing action—Dak Prescott #98 sold for $78, a 2020 Prizm RC of similar market tier recently changed hands at $22, and other 2020 Prizm rookies are hovering $30‑$45—CeeDee Lamb #104 GEM‑MT at $9.99 is clearly trading well below current comparable values.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 With 2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Mahomes #164 PSA‑10 fetching $200‑$250 in recent comps and a 5% weekly price drift on comparable Premier Level runs, a $10 sale is a glaring misprice.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 With the 2022 Prizm “Red White Blue” Gardner PSA 9 pulling $35 on eBay last week and the 2023 Prizm rookie PSA 9 closing at $78, the $10 RC PSA 9 sits well below comparable rookie benchmarks, indicating the market hasn’t yet priced in Gardner’s rapid ascent.

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📬 One More Thing

Mahomes is still king—his OG 2020 Panini Prizm Red Relic just flipped for $12,800, a 300% jump in a week. If the rest of the market sticks near the $390 avg, any non‑rookie TE or QB with a low‑serial parallel is primed for a quick run. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-04 07:11:37

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Monday, May 4, 2026