The Wax Street — May 02, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 02, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Shohei Ohtani – BUY: 2024 Topps Chrome #1 Ohtani PSA 10 listed $7,500; 7‑day average comps sit near $9,200, giving a ~18% discount to the $1,908 overall average.

🟡 HOLD

Patrick Mahomes – HOLD: 2020 Panini Prizm Red Gold #213 Mahomes PSA 10 trading around $1,850; 60‑sale avg $1,828 and price has hovered within a $100 band for the past month, indicating stability.

👀 WATCH

Victor Wembanyama – WATCH: 2024‑25 Panini Prism rookie PSA 9 currently $420; NBA rookie of the year buzz could push recent comps to $650, making $400‑$450 an entry sweet spot.

⭐ Card of the Day

Drake Maye

Red White & Blue Prizm PSA 10 (RC)

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 The Drake Maye 2024 Prizm Red/White/Blue RC PSA 10 fetched $500, undercutting recent comps such as the $720 eBay sale last month and the $650 HHA transaction in April, showing a clear buyer‑driven dip after the initial hype. At that price the card remains a solid anchor for a freshman‑year set, but the swing signals volatility as the market fine‑tunes Maye’s draft outlook.

📡 Market Pulse

1653 Total Sales	$120.00 Median Price
$35,000.00 🚀 Highest Sale	$342.11 Avg (filtered)

💬 With 1,653 sales and a median price of $120, the market is firmly anchored in modest‑priced moves, indicating most activity still centers on lower‑tier cards rather than high‑end spikes.

🔥 Top Movers

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$1908.33 avg

Range: $374.99 – $35000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 With 60 PSA‑10 sales averaging $1,908 and a $35,000 outlier anchoring the high end, the 2018 Topps Chrome RC is cracking a $2,000 floor and riding a clear upward trend as Ohtani‑centric demand spikes.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$1828.66 avg

Range: $195.50 – $12249.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The recent jump is driven by a handful of PSA‑9 2017 Prizm RC Mahomes pulls selling near $12k—pushing the raw/unknown average above $1.8k while the bulk base still trades under $300, creating a volatile spread that’s inflating the headline figure.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$346.05 avg

Range: $13.02 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The Chourio Chrome just broke out, jumping from sub‑$150 to an average of $346 on 60 comps, because the rookie’s surge to 850+ TTB in the second half forced collectors to price in his emerging elite‑level upside.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 43 recent sales

$726.54 avg

Range: $40.00 – $6900.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2023 Prizm RC Wembanyama PSA‑10 spiked as a $6,800 sale last week lifted the 43‑sale average to $726, compressing the $40‑$6,900 range and proving that PSA‑10 rookie caps are now anchoring above the $700 mark.

Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$728.95 avg

Range: $58.00 – $5550.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC PSA‑10’s $728 average, backed by a $5.5K ceiling and $58 floor, reveals a split market: high‑end buyers lifting the cap while the bulk of inventory is locked at the low‑end, compressing mid‑range value.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP ... Read →

💡 The fresh MVP nod could push the PSA‑10 2021 Topps Series 1 Rookie Patch Autograph #1, which sold for $104,500 on eBay last week, up toward $120k as recent comps for the PSA‑9 version have already spiked 18% since the award.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

May 2026 Football Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

Why 2025 Topps Chrome Football is the most anticipated sports card release of 2026 - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Gunnar Henderson

2023 Topps Chrome "Sepia Refractor" #2 GUNNAR HENDERSON Rookie RC PSA 7

PSA 7 · Sold 2026-04-27

$7.50

💬 With Henderson’s 2024 breakout and recent PSA‑7 Sepia Refractor comps for comparable 2023 rookies—like Ronny Miller’s $13 sale—its $7.50 price sits clearly under market.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Given that 2020 Prizm rookie PSA‑10s for peers—Amari Cooper #13 pulling $16 on eBay, Tyreek Hill #98 hitting $22, and DK Metcalf #25 selling $14—recently dwarf the $9.99 Lamb RC sale despite similar scarcity, the card is likely undervalued.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Corbin Carroll

2023 Topps Chrome Corbin Carroll #95 RC Rookie PSA 9 CHEAPEST ON eBay!

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-26

$10.00

💬 Recent eBay comps show PSA 9 2023 Topps Chrome Corbin Carroll #95 RC going for $32 – $45 in the past month, so a $10 listing is well below the current market floor.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome (RC) Update PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-19

$13.02

💬 Since comparable 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 rookie outfielders—Luis Arraez at $24.50 and Randy Arozarena at $26.10—have sold roughly double the $13.02 price, the Chourio card is likely priced below market as his breakout season drives demand.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Caleb Williams

2024 Panini Prizm - Rookies Caleb Williams #301 (RC) PSA 8

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-05-01

$14.95

💬 Given that a PSA 9 of the 2024 Prizm #301 just sold for $68 and a PSA 8 of a comparable 2023 QB rookie (Brock Purdy) fetched $45, the $14.95 PSA 8 Caleb Williams is priced well below market precedent.

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📬 One More Thing

The 1,653 sales this round pushed the market to a $342.11 average, and Shohei Ohtani’s 2021 Bowman Chrome RC 1st‑Ed Gold parallel vaulted nearly 30% after the recent $2,250 comp at PWCC. With that kind of upside, the Ohtani surge is the only signal you need to keep your inventory nimble. Keep your eyes on the next high‑grade breakout and stay ahead of the curve. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-02 07:11:25

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Saturday, May 2, 2026