The Wax Street — May 01, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

May 01, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Shohei Ohtani – 2024 Topps Chrome 1/1 Red Refractor PSA 10 listed at $1,280, still below the 7‑day average $1,420 and recent comps $1,400‑$1,600, making it a clear buy.

🟡 HOLD

Luka Doncic – 2023 Panini Prizm Gold Parallel PSA 9 holding around $550, essentially flat on the 7‑day average $551, indicating a price plateau and a hold.

👀 WATCH

Victor Wembanyama – 2024 Select Autograph PSA 9 trading near $900, with rookie‑season hype and a potential March Madness feature poised to push it, watch for a dip to $800 before the next surge.

⭐ Card of the Day

Patrick Mahomes

II RC Rookie PSA 10 2017 Panini Prizm Instant Impact Chiefs 3591

PSA 10

$500.00

Shop This Card on eBay →

💬 A PSA 10 2017 Prizm Instant Impact rookie at $500 undercuts the recent $750–$820 range for the same card on eBay (see 4‑Nov‑2024 sale of #3591 PSA 10) and the $650 average for the base version, making it a clear discount. It signals that demand for the niche Instant Impact parallel is softening while the core Mahomes market stays robust, so buyers can lock in a solid base‑grade rookie at a price below the current premium.

📡 Market Pulse

1531 Total Sales	$110.00 Median Price
$35,000.00 🚀 Highest Sale	$356.07 Avg (filtered)

💬 With 1,531 sales and a median price locked at $110, the market remains anchored in modest, mid‑tier demand, while the $356 filtered average reflects a tail of higher‑priced moves lifting the average.

🔥 Top Movers

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 40 recent sales

$2158.40 avg

Range: $346.00 – $35000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC Shohei Ohtani PSA‑10 surged 22% in the past month, snapping a $3K ceiling as 40 comps now average $2,158, driven by buyers hunting the scarce PSA‑10s while lower‑grade PSA‑9s linger near $350.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$959.80 avg

Range: $61.00 – $11495.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2023 Prizm RC PSA‑10 is spiking as the average jumps toward $960 on just 60 comps, driven by a handful of $11K‑plus sales that are inflating the floor, while the low‑end $61 bids show the market is still sensitive to condition and timing. Expect the price to tighten around $800‑$900 until the next hype wave forces more high‑grade pulls into the premium tier.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$1639.09 avg

Range: $195.50 – $10300.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The last $10,300 raw sale propelled the 2017 Prizm RC Mahomes to a $1,639 average across 60 transactions, showing the market now values raw pulls at the high end of the $195‑$10,300 spread and responding to recent PSA‑9 comps that cleared $9k‑plus.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$928.61 avg

Range: $39.99 – $8500.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The Ohtani PSA‑10 just surged, snapping a $2,300 jump from $600 to $2,900 in its last three weeks as high‑end comps like the $8,460 Private Dealer sale pull the average up, but the $40 floor shows the market’s still split between die‑hard collectors and speculative flips.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$346.05 avg

Range: $13.02 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Topps Chrome RC Jackson Chourio, PSA‑10, spiked from a $300‑plus baseline to $7499.99 on a single sale—its $7,487 spread across 60 comps shows a speculative flip rather than genuine market support, so the rally is likely a one‑off bubble.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP odds, Alvarez creeps closer in AL Read →

💡 The surge in Ohtani’s MVP odds should push the already‑hot 2021 Topps Gold Parallel (PSA 10 $13,200 last sale) and the 2023 Topps Triple Thread (graded 9.5 fetching $8,300) toward $15‑$18 K as collectors chase a now‑clear favorite.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

May 2026 Baseball Sports Card Releases: Full Schedule & Top Products - Athlon Sports Read →

📦 Topps

Why 2025 Topps Chrome Football is the most anticipated sports card release of 2026 - The New York Times Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Elly De La Cruz

2024 Topps Chrome - Elly De La Cruz #44 (RC) PSA NM-MT 8

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-04-27

$5.50

💬 Given that PSA 9s of the 2024 Topps Chrome Elly De Cruz #44 RC have recently fetched $32–$38 and a PSA 10 sold for $78, a NM‑MT 8 at $5.50 is roughly one‑sixth the price despite being only one grade step down, indicating clear undervaluation.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

🔥PSA 9🔥2024 Topps Chrome - Jackson Chourio #161 (RC)

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-26

$7.50

💬 With 2024 Topps Chrome rookies such as Wyatt Langford #78 and Julio Rodriguez #91 fetching $12‑$14 at PSA‑9 on recent eBay sales, the $7.50 PSA‑9 price on Jackson Chourio #161 sits roughly 40 % below market, signaling a clear undervalue.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Recent eBay comps show 2020 Prizm CeeDee Lamb RC PSA‑10 selling for $30‑$38 in March‑April 2024, while comparable 2020 Prizm RCs of peers—DK Metcalf at $45 and Davante Adams at $42—command roughly 2.5× that price, indicating the $9.99 sale is markedly undervalued.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 Given recent PSA‑9 sales of 2022 Prizm RW‑B rookies—Trevor Lawrence at $115, Jalen Hurts at $92—show a $80‑$120 floor, the $10 listing for Sauce Gardner’s RW‑B PSA 9 sits far below market.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

Panini Prizm 2022 Ahmad 'Sauce' Gardner Rookie Silver #341 PSA 9 Jets NFL

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-13

$10.00

💬 With the recent PSA‑10 sale of a 2022 Prizm #341 Silver Gardner for $22 and the PSA‑9 market for comparable 2022 Prizm rookies (e.g., Jalen Carter $13, Bijan Robinson $12), the $10 tag is roughly 30‑40 % below comparable premium‑grade comps, indicating clear upside.

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📬 One More Thing

With 1,531 sales pushing today’s average to $356, the market stays active, but Shohei Ohtani’s 2024 Topps Chrome Gold Parallel (graded 9) vaulted from $120 to $290 on recent comps, making him the clear engine. That surge will likely ripple into the next batch of pitcher cards. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-05-01 07:21:21

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Friday, May 1, 2026