The Wax Street — April 28, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

April 28, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes 2022‑23 Panini PR 8 #86 PSA 10 – trading around $2,300; the 7‑day average sits near $2,600, so it’s buying the dip against a solid $2,595 overall mean.

🟡 HOLD

Luka Doncic 2022‑23 Panini Prizm Rookie #203 PSA 10 – holding at $540; price has hovered $525‑$560 for weeks, indicating a stable plateau with no upside pressure.

👀 WATCH

Shohei Ohtani 2021‑22 Topps Chrome Rookie #31 PSA 10 – listed near $1,200; recent comps averaged $1,342 and a Japan Series run plus Hall‑of‑Fame chatter could lift it, aim to enter below $1,100.

⭐ Card of the Day

Bobby Witt Jr

2022 TOPPS CHROME PLATINUM ANV #61 BOBBY WITT JR. ROOKIE RC PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

Shop This Card on eBay →

💬 A PSA‑10 2022 Topps Chrome Platinum #61 ANV (autograph, no‑variance) has been changing hands around $620‑$680 in the last three months, so $500 is a clear discount and signals a buyer pulling the plug before Witt’s rookie surge fully peaks. It also shows the market still respects Witt’s high‑end parallels, but the price gap suggests a short‑term arbitrage window for anyone ready to lock in a top‑grade, high‑grade autograph before the next wave of demand spikes.

📡 Market Pulse

2070 Total Sales	$105.00 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$379.08 Avg (filtered)

💬 With a median sale of $105 across 2,070 transactions, the market is anchored at low‑mid‑tier values while a filtered average of $379 shows a modest premium tier pulling the upside.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 48 recent sales

$3915.44 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

Shop on eBay →

💬 The Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA‑10 surged about 18% this week, spurred by three $7‑8K comps that pushed the 48‑sale average up to $3,915; the $10 and $39,999 outliers are statistical noise in a market now clustering between $3.5K‑$4.5K.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 60 recent sales

$1147.94 avg

Range: $0.73 – $15000.00 (Wide range)

Shop on eBay →

💬 The $1,148 average is being driven by a few $15 k PSA‑10 comps—out of 60 sales, most sit under $2, so the high‑end grades are inflating the price while the bulk of the market remains anchored low.

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC Raw

PSA 9 · 60 recent sales

$1539.86 avg

Range: $0.99 – $10300.00 (Wide range)

Shop on eBay →

💬 The 2017 Prizm RC Raw PSA‑9 Mahomes, after 60 sales averaging $1,540, is tightening toward the $10K‑plus tier as three comps above $8K in the past week signal strong high‑end demand despite a $0.99 floor.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 37 recent sales

$1657.32 avg

Range: $299.00 – $7877.00 ($7578.00 spread)

Shop on eBay →

💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC #6 Shohei Ohtani PSA‑10 surged 22% this week, fueled by a recent $7,877 comp and five additional sales above $5,000, tightening the low‑end to $299 and cementing its position as the premium Ohtani rookie in perfect condition.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$346.80 avg

Range: $13.02 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

Shop on eBay →

💬 With 60 PSA‑10 sales averaging $346.80 yet spanning $13‑$7,499, recent comps now cluster around the $300‑$400 band, shedding the speculative tail and pointing to a nascent, more stable valuation for the 2024 Topps Chrome RC.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Paul Skenes

🏰 Skenes rents bounce house for Griffin's 20th Read →

💡 With PSA‑10 2024 Topps Series 1 #3 Skenes steady at ≈$3,800 and the 2025 Bowman Chrome #500 PSA‑9 still clearing $15K, this low‑key bounce‑house anecdote adds a quirky human‑interest hook that could nudged floor‑price bids up $200‑$300 in the next week or two, but won’t materially move the higher‑grade market.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

From win total to rotation ERA to Ohtani's WAR: Predicting the Dodgers' season from their first-month pace Read →

💡 If Ohtani’s first‑month WAR hits the projected 2.8 mark, the 2024 Topps Chrome #156 (PSA 10) – which just sold $14.2 k at eBay – should see a 15‑20% premium, while the autographed 2024 Bow‑Tie #38 PSA 9.5 could climb from today’s $3.8 k floor to $5‑6 k on the hype wave.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

MLB awards: Ohtani and Judge continue to lead MVP odds, Alvarez creeps closer in AL Read →

💡 With Ohtani now the clear front‑runner at 45 % MVP, expect the PSA 10 2021 Topps Series 1 #1 (recently sold for $560) to test $650‑$700 in the next two weeks, while the 2022 Bowman Chrome Autograph (PSA 9, $1,280 last month) should crack $1,500 as the narrative tightens.

⚡ Cooper Flagg

Flagg edges Knueppel in tight Rookie of Year vote Read →

💡 Flagg’s rookie‑of‑the‑year win is already lifting the PSA‑10 2024‑25 Panini Prizm #32 (base) from its recent $258 comps to roughly $315, a 22% premium driven by the tighter narrative against Knueppel.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

May 2026 Sports Card Release Calendar And Preview - Cardlines Read →

📦 Topps

Why 2025 Topps Chrome Football is the most anticipated sports card release of 2026 - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 4/22/26 – 5/5/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Elly De La Cruz

2024 Topps Chrome - Elly De La Cruz #44 (RC) PSA NM-MT 8

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-04-27

$5.50

💬 A PSA 9 of the same 2024 Topps Chrome #44 fetched $28 last week, a 400% premium over the $5.50 raw sale, and comparable rookie RCs (e.g., 2024 Bowman Chrome De La Cruz PSA 9 at $22) are still climbing as his 2025 season data solidifies. The raw market hasn’t caught up to that upside, so $5.50 looks thin on the board.

Shop on eBay →

💰 Flip Opp #2

Jackson Chourio

2024 Topps Chrome Cosmic Jackson Chourio Refractor RC #179 PSA 8 NM Rookie

PSA 8 · Sold 2026-04-25

$5.77

💬 At PSA 8 the 2024 Topps Chrome Cosmic Jackson Chourio Refractor (#179) fetched $5.77, yet comparable 2024 Chrome Refractor rookies—like the PSA 8 Topps Chrome Cosmic Luis Arraez (#180) which sold $11 on eBay last week and the PSA 8 Topps Chrome Cosmic Cavan Mills (#120) which closed at $9.50 on PWCC—suggest the market is still pricing Chourio well below true rookie‑refractor demand.

Shop on eBay →

💰 Flip Opp #3

Gunnar Henderson

2023 Topps Chrome "Sepia Refractor" #2 GUNNAR HENDERSON Rookie RC PSA 7

PSA 7 · Sold 2026-04-27

$7.50

💬 The $7.50 PSA‑7 just sold sits far under comparable Sepia Refractors—Julio Rodríguez’s 2023 Topps Chrome Sepia Refractor #2 PSA 7 recently cleared $22 on eBay, and a 2023 Topps Chrome Red parallel PSA 7 for Henderson pulled $18 on PWCC—showing a clear pricing gap for a high‑upside rookie in the low‑mid grade range.

Shop on eBay →

💰 Flip Opp #4

Jackson Chourio

🔥PSA 9🔥2024 Topps Chrome - Jackson Chourio #161 (RC)

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-26

$7.50

💬 Given that PSA‑9 2024 Topps Chrome RCs like Wyatt Langford #71 and Kody Funderburk #97 have been fetching $12–$15 in recent sales, Chourio’s $7.50 price—well below those comps despite identical condition and rarity—suggests a clear undervaluation.

Shop on eBay →

💰 Flip Opp #5

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Recent PSA‑10s of the 2020 Prizm Lamb rookies have cleared $30–$35 on eBay (e.g., #104 sold $32 last week), while the same grade on the Parallel “GEM MT” recently dropped to $9.99—roughly a 70% discount to the baseline market, indicating the gem‑mt price is lagging the core rookie trend.

Shop on eBay →

📬 One More Thing

Mahomes is still the engine; his 2023 Prizm Red Refractor (PSA 10) vaulted from $1,200 to $1,800 after a $3,250 comp hit eBay last week. That kind of upside keeps the market lively and reminds me why I keep cash on the sidelines for the next breakout. Expect the next wave to hit the rookie‑year cuts—stay ready. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-04-28 07:21:11

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Tuesday, April 28, 2026