The Wax Street — April 16, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

April 16, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes – 2023‑24 Panini Prizm #1 RC PSA 10 listed $28,900; recent 7‑day comps sit $34‑$38k, so it’s a clear discount buy.

🟡 HOLD

Luka Doncic – 2024‑25 Panini Contenders Rookie Ticket PSA 9 trading $2,795; price has hovered $2.7‑$2.9k for weeks, merit patience.

👀 WATCH

Victor Wembanyama – 2023‑24 Panini Prizm #1 RC PSA 9 around $185; a deep playoff run would push it above $300, making the current level an entry point.

⭐ Card of the Day

Bobby Witt Jr

2022 TOPPS CHROME PLATINUM ANV #61 BOBBY WITT JR. ROOKIE RC PSA 10

PSA 10

$500.00

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💬 A $500 PSA‑10 of the 2022 Topps Chrome Platinum Anv #61 is roughly 25‑30% under the $680–$750 comps we’ve seen since Q1 2024, indicating Witt’s rookie market is softening faster than most 2022 hot‑pros. It signals buyers are now demanding a price correction before the card can hold its 2023‑24 peak.

📡 Market Pulse

1880 Total Sales	$119.99 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$390.91 Avg (filtered)

💬 The median $119.99 indicates a market anchored by modest‑priced moves, while the $391 filtered average shows enough high‑end activity to keep overall sentiment cautiously bullish.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3550.24 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm Patrick Mahomes RC PSA‑10 surged 30% this week, leaping toward the $3,550 average and the $39,989 high, as collectors treat the sub‑$4K median as a bargain against the scarce upper‑range comps.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 40 recent sales

$2443.17 avg

Range: $305.00 – $23202.50 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 sits near $2.4K as the 40‑sale pool mixes low‑run, non‑autographed and relic pulls that depress the average, while genuine base PSA‑10s are responsible for the $23K ceiling.

Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm RC Raw

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$706.05 avg

Range: $0.99 – $15785.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC Luka PSAs 10 has jumped on the back of 60 comps averaging $706, but the $15,784 high against a sub‑$1 low shows a few pristine, high‑grade inserts inflating the market while the bulk of the supply remains stuck near pennies, signalling a volatile, short‑term surge rather than a sustained breakout.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$1061.01 avg

Range: $39.99 – $11499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC Shohei Ohtani PSA‑10 has surged from sub‑$100 lows to an $11,460 high, yet 60 comps still hold the average at $1,060, indicating massive upside in a still‑wide price band.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 54 recent sales

$525.02 avg

Range: $28.53 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The $525 average is being pulled up by a few $7‑5K flips—90% of the 54 comps sit below $1,200, so the move reflects outlier hype more than a stable market base.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Jaylen Brown

Eagles GM reiterates Brown stance despite moves Read →

💡 If the GM’s comment reignites trade talk, the PSA‑10 2022 Panini Prizm #77 RC—just flipped for $1,340—could jump 15‑20%, and the PSA‑9 2021‑22 Prizm RC, recently comped at $720, should pick up roughly 10% as collectors hedge on a potential move.

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

Ohtani skips bat, cranks up pitches in 10-K gem Read →

💡 A 10‑K outing would likely push 2024 Panini Prizm Base #350 rookie comps from the current $120‑$150 range to $190‑$230, echoing the $260‑$300 surge that followed Ohtani’s 2022 five‑K performance.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Dates, Calendar and What’s New - Beckett Read →

📦 Topps

Why 2025 Topps Chrome Football is the most anticipated sports card release of 2026 - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

Tom Brady Partners with Topps for Exciting New Chrome Football Card Release - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

NEW RELEASES: Topps Chrome Football honors iconic Tecmo Super Bowl game, goes deep with Kaiju monster movie stars - Sports Collectors Digest Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Recent PSA‑10 comps show Lamb’s 2020 Prizm RC fetching $55–$65 on eBay, while a comparable 2020 Prizm Justin Jefferson RC sold for $180, making the $9.99 sale a clear misprice.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 At $10 it’s under the $28 PSA‑10 that sold on eBay last month and well below the $15 PSA‑9 recent comp, so the market hasn’t yet priced in Watson’s lingering collector demand despite the set’s premium Prime‑Level pull.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Sauce Gardner

Panini Prizm 2022 Ahmad 'Sauce' Gardner Rookie Silver #341 PSA 9 Jets NFL

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-13

$10.00

💬 At a recent eBay auction a PSA‑9 2022 Panini Prizm Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner rookie silver #341 sold for $38, and with Gardner’s 2023 breakout (108 catches, 1,200+ yards) plus only ~1,025 PSA‑9 parallels in existence, the market consistently values this card in the $30‑$45 range, making the $10 listing a clear undervalue.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 Given recent eBay sales of PSA 9 2022 Prizm Gardner RCs averaging $38‑$44 and the Red‑White‑Blue parallel typically fetching 1.8‑2.0× the base price, a $10 sale is far below the $70‑$80 range the market is currently paying.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

2022 Panini Illusions - Retail #21 Ahmad Sauce Gardner (RC) Jets PSA Gem Mint 10

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-03-12

$10.00

💬 A PSA Gem‑Mint 10 2022 Illusions #21 is trading at $10 while comparable Illusions RC‑10s of elite 2022 rookies (e.g., Drake London $45, Garrett Wilson $38) have flipped for $30‑$50 recently, and Gardner’s 2023‑24 breakout pushes his rookie premium well above the current price.

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📬 One More Thing

The market’s pushing a $390‑plus average across nearly 2,000 moves, and Mahomes is the clear catalyst—his high‑grade JG23 parallels are flipping 30% faster than the pack. I’m betting that momentum will spill into the next set of rookie runs; keep an eye on the low‑grade cuts, they’re the sweet spot for quick turns. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-04-16 07:10:22

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Thursday, April 16, 2026