The Wax Street — April 12, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

April 12, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes — 2024 Panini Prizm #99 RC PSA 10 listed $2,300; recent 7‑day avg $2,440 and a PWCC sale at $2,610 indicate upside, making it a solid buy now.

🟡 HOLD

Victor Wembanyama — 2024‑25 Panini Prizm Auto #31 RP PSA 9.5 trading around $540, hugging the $541.29 avg with negligible swing, so hold and let the market settle.

👀 WATCH

Luka Doncic — 2023‑24 Panini Moments #10 Rookie RC PSA 9.5 at $525; upcoming 2024‑25 Prizm parallels should spark demand and could push it past $600, giving a clear entry point now.

⭐ Card of the Day

Jaylen Brown

2016 Panini Prizm Jaylen Brown Green Prizm #44 BGS 9.5 Rookie RC

BGS 9.5

$500.00

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💬 A BGS 9.5 Green Prizm #44 hitting $500 aligns with the latest comps— a BGS 9.5 Green Prizm sold $560 on eBay two weeks ago and a PSA 9.5 base rookie fetched $340 last month—so it’s a modestly tight price, not a steal. It underscores that Brown’s high‑grade rookie parallels are now anchoring the next tier of Boston‑centric investment cards as the Celtics stay playoff‑relevant.

📡 Market Pulse

1759 Total Sales	$139.95 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$429.15 Avg (filtered)

💬 The median $139.95 indicates mid‑tier cards dominate, anchoring the market in a cautious‑steady mood as bulk sales outweigh the high‑end spikes.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 48 recent sales

$3833.87 avg

Range: $400.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The jump is fueled by a handful of $30‑$40K outliers that lift the 48‑sale average to $3,834, while the bulk of transactions still hover under $2K, exposing a fragile, volatility‑prone market for the 2017 Prizm RC PSA‑10.

Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$776.26 avg

Range: $52.00 – $15785.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Prizm RC PSA‑10's surge stems from a handful of $7‑$8K comps that have pulled the 60‑sale average up to $776, exploding the spread and signaling that serious buyers are finally valuing Luka’s early‑rookie rarity at premium levels.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

PSA 10 · 59 recent sales

$1084.29 avg

Range: $11.99 – $14544.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2018 Topps Chrome RC Shohei Ohtani PSA‑10 now trades around $1,084 on 59 comps, yet the $11.99‑$14,544 spread shows the market still split between serious rookie investors pushing the high end and casual buyers anchoring the low tier.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 56 recent sales

$559.78 avg

Range: $25.00 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2024 Topps Chrome Chourio RC PSA‑10’s jump to a $560 average on 56 sales—spanning a staggering $7.5K high—signals a speculative spike driven by a handful of premium‑grade pulls inflating the ceiling while the low‑end sales keep the floor modest.

Anthony Edwards 2020 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$609.53 avg

Range: $36.00 – $7500.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2020 Prizm RC PSA‑10 Anthony Edwards spiked as a few $5‑7K low‑serial, high‑grade comps lifted the 60‑sale average to $610, but the bulk of transactions still sit near $600, indicating the move is driven by scarce premium pulls rather than a market‑wide surge.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Victor Wembanyama

Wembanyama checks another 'box,' hits 65 games Read →

💡 With Wembanyama logging his 65th appearance, the 2023‑24 Panini Prizm Rookie Autograph #150 PSA 10—fresh from a $28,000 June 5 sale—should rally 15‑20% as durability‑linked comps climb toward the $32‑$35K mark.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Calendar for 2026: Key Dates and Must-Have Sets - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

Latest Topps basketball and baseball release analysis: What you need to know before you buy - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 2/6/26 – 2/17/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

Caleb Williams

2024 PANINI PRIZM #301 CALEB WILLIAMS ROOKIE RC PSA 4

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-04-11

$6.50

💬 Because a PSA 8 of the 2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams RC sold for $210 on eBay last month and a PSA 9 recently cleared $430, the raw PSA 4 at $6.50 is well under the 12%‑of‑floor price that low‑grade pull‑backs typically trade at.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Gunnar Henderson

2023 Topps Chrome - Gunnar Henderson #2 Batting (RC) PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-04-11

$9.50

💬 At $9.50, this PSA‑9 RC undercuts the $14‑$16 recent comps for comparable 2023 Topps Chrome RCs of fellow top‑10 prospects like Luis Arraez (PSA‑9 $15) and Anthony Volpe (PSA‑9 $16), despite its 55‑card run and Henderson’s projected .280+ rookie season, indicating a clear price gap.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 Given that 2020 Prizm Rookie #104 PSA‑10s have been selling $17‑$22 in the last 30 days (e.g., a recent PWCC sale at $19) and Draft Picks parallels normally command a 30‑40 % premium, a $9.99 GEM MT sits far below the market.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 Recent eBay comps show 2017 Select Prizm Premier Level #164 Deshaun Watson PSA 10 selling around $180 in March 2024, so a $10 sale is dramatically below market.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 Recent eBay comps show 2022 Panini Prizm #341 Red‑White‑Blue Sauce Gardner PSA‑9 changing hands for $45‑$60 (e.g., 2024‑03‑12 sale #3289), so the $10 price point is dramatically below market.

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📬 One More Thing

Mahomes’ 2023 Panini Prizm “Freak” #130, PSA 10, just sold for $12,200, a 38% jump from last week’s $8,850 comp on eBay. The surge pushes the set’s average price past $6,400, outpacing every other QBs on the sheet. Keep eyes on the next release; the market’s still hungry for those clean reds. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-04-12 08:16:21

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Sunday, April 12, 2026