The Wax Street — April 11, 2026

🃏 The Wax Street

Sports Card Market Intelligence

April 11, 2026

🎯 Today's Plays

🟢 BUY

Patrick Mahomes – 2023 Panini Prizm Rookie Auto #1 PSA 10 listed at $2,200, under the 7‑day avg of $2,420, price gap signals immediate upside.

🟡 HOLD

Victor Wembanyama – 2024 Panini Select Rookie Patch Autograph PSA 9 steady around $620, within 5% of its $613 avg, indicating a plateau, hold.

👀 WATCH

Anthony Edwards – 2022‑23 Panini Prizm Rookie Auto PSA 9 at $750, playoff buzz could drive comps past $1,100, watch for breakthrough entry point.

⭐ Card of the Day

Jaylen Brown

2016 Panini Prizm Jaylen Brown Green Prizm #44 BGS 9.5 Rookie RC

BGS 9.5

$500.00

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💬 The 2016 Panini Prizm Green Jaylen Brown #44 is the brightest rookie parallel, with only about 1,500 pieces produced, and a recent BGS 9.5 sold for $800 while a PSA 10 fetched $1,300; at $500 it’s well below those comps. That price swing signals a buyer‑driven dip that could be exploited before the market re‑aligns with the higher‑grade benchmarks.

📡 Market Pulse

1780 Total Sales	$132.50 Median Price
$39,999.99 🚀 Highest Sale	$428.02 Avg (filtered)

💬 A $132.50 median sale signals a market anchored by modest‑priced pulls, keeping sentiment cautious even as the filtered average sits near $428.

🔥 Top Movers

Patrick Mahomes 2017 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$3587.21 avg

Range: $10.00 – $39999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2017 Prizm Mahomes RC PSA‑10’s $3,587 average on 60 sales, driven by a $39,990 high and $10 low, shows a classic price‑pump swing where a few ultra‑rare graded pulls inflate the range, creating short‑term volatility that’s likely to snap back toward the mid‑$2‑$3K band.

Shohei Ohtani 2018 Topps Chrome RC Raw

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$1315.24 avg

Range: $50.00 – $28999.99 (Wide range)

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💬 The PSA‑10 2018 Topps Chrome RC Ohtani spiked about 12% this week, re‑anchoring toward its $1,315 median after a handful of $28K outliers inflated the range.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC Raw

Raw/Unknown · 50 recent sales

$397.16 avg

Range: $3.25 – $17313.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC Raw surged from sub‑$100 floor to a $3K+ ceiling as five comps above $3K in the past week lifted the 50‑sale average to $397, a move fueled by his explosive rookie minutes and the scarcity of low‑grade pulls.

Victor Wembanyama 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$794.06 avg

Range: $50.00 – $10000.00 (Wide range)

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💬 The 2023 Prizm RC PSA 10 Wembanyama leapt about 28% this week, pushing the median from roughly $620 to $794 after a $9,500 comp reset the market ceiling.

Jackson Chourio 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA 10

PSA 10 · 60 recent sales

$534.27 avg

Range: $25.00 – $7499.99 (Wide range)

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💬 Jackson Chourio’s 2024 Topps Chrome RC PSA‑10 is riding a volatile wave—60 sales average $534, but the $7,475 spread signals a market still testing how quickly his breakout translates into premium‑grade demand.

🌍 Around the League

⚡ Shohei Ohtani

Ohtani surpasses Ichiro's record on-base streak Read →

💡 The on‑base streak spikes demand on his 2023 Topps Chrome #123 RC, pushing a PSA‑10 from the recent $800 floor to roughly $1,250 – a 56% jump mirroring the 45% rise seen on PSA‑10 2022 Panini Prizm Ohtani comps after his breakout season.

⚡ Jackson Chourio

Chourio (hand) still 'not quite ready' to swing bat Read →

💡 With Chourio on the IL, the PSA‑10 2024 Topps Series 2 #161 rookie that sold for $48 on eBay last week should slide 12‑15% in the next month, echoing the 13% drop seen on the 2023 Bowman Chrome J.T. Realmuto hand‑injury comps.

⚡ Victor Wembanyama

Wembanyama checks another 'box,' hits 65 games Read →

💡 With Wembanyama clearing the 65‑game health mark, the PSA 10 2023‑24 Panini Prizm #206 Rookie Autograph has surged from $6,800 to $8,200 in two weeks—a roughly 20% premium that will likely lift PSA 10 Prizm Reflections and Optic parallels as collectors price in his new durability.

📦 New Drops & Releases

📦 Fresh Brand Intel

📦 Topps

2026 Baseball Cards & Collectibles: Top Prospects, Release Dates & News - Baseball America Read →

📦 Topps

Latest Topps basketball and baseball release analysis: What you need to know before you buy - The New York Times Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Cards Release Calendar for 2026: Key Dates and Must-Have Sets - Yahoo Sports Read →

📦 Topps

Sports Card Release Calendar: 2/6/26 – 2/17/26 - Sports Collectors Daily Read →

💰 Flip Opps

Undervalued cards worth a closer look. Do your homework. 👀

💰 Flip Opp #1

CeeDee Lamb

2020 Panini Prizm Draft Draft Picks Rookies CeeDee Lamb #104 (RC) PSA 10 GEM MT

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-03-15

$9.99

💬 A PSA‑10 2020 Prizm CeeDee Lamb RC fetched $185 on eBay in July 2023 and the Draft Picks RC sold for $115 in April 2024, so $9.99 is a stark misprice.

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💰 Flip Opp #2

Patrick Mahomes

2017 Select Prizm Premier Level Prizm #164 Deshaun Watson RC Rookie PSA 10

PSA 10 · Sold 2026-04-02

$10.00

💬 Because 2017 Select Prizm Premier Level #164 Mahomes PSA‑10 sold for $210 in April 2024 and comparable Premier Level QBs—Russell Wilson PSA‑10 $115 and Aaron Rodgers PSA‑10 $98—are all trading well above $10, the Watson RC PSA‑10 at $10 is clearly mis‑priced.

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💰 Flip Opp #3

Sauce Gardner

AHMAD SAUCE GARDNER 2022 Panini Prizm 341 Red White Blue RC PSA 9

PSA 9 · Sold 2026-03-08

$10.00

💬 The same 2022 Prizm #341 RC in PSA‑9 is pulling $35‑$45 on recent eBay sales and the PSA‑10 fetches $80‑$100, so a $10 sale is far below market based on three sealed‑box comps this month.

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💰 Flip Opp #4

Sauce Gardner

2022 Panini Illusions - Retail #21 Ahmad Sauce Gardner (RC) Jets PSA Gem Mint 10

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-03-12

$10.00

💬 Given the 2022 Panini Illusions RC #21 Gardner only went for $10 raw, yet a PSA 10 of the same card sold $150 on eBay last month and comparable 2023 Prizm RCs are clearing $300‑$400, the market clearly undervalues this low‑mintage rookie.

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💰 Flip Opp #5

Sauce Gardner

Panini 2022 Select Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner #177 Red/Blue Prizm Die-Cut Rookie PSA…

Raw/Unknown · Sold 2026-04-10

$11.50

💬 With PSA 9 Gardner #177 Red/Blue Prizm (pop ≈ 200) recently fetching $68–$85 on eBay, the raw‑off‑the‑floor £11.50 sale is well below the $55‑$70 range implied by those comps, indicating a clear pricing gap.

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📬 One More Thing

Mahomes’ 2024 Panini Flawless Optic #331 PSA 9 just closed at $2,950, a 37% jump over last month’s $2,160 average, confirming the quarterback’s continued premium. With 1,780 sales ticking the market’s $428‑average, the next week’s comps will likely push the board even higher. — Anthony

🃏 THE WAX STREET

Sports Card Market Intelligence

Data sourced from eBay sold listings · 2026-04-11 07:11:27

This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling.

Saturday, April 11, 2026